Topics / 🙈 Learning from mistakes

Joel Gascoigne: Navigating a Multi-Year Decline to New All-Time-Highs

Joel Gascoigne of Buffer tells the story of the company's multi-year decline, when ARR fell 20% to $17.1M after years of growth, and how it reached new highs. He links the decline to pushing revenue per user up while paying customers fell. He links the recovery to going back down market with a differentiated freemium product.

Watch the original on businessofsoftware.org ↗

We link to the original and never republish it. All credit to Joel Gascoigne.

Key takeaways

  1. Gascoigne says a falling paying-customer count should have set off alarms even while ARR grew; Buffer's customers dropped from a peak of 80,000 while price increases kept revenue rising.
  2. Buffer narrowed to direct to consumer brands, raised the Pro plan from $10 to $15 while cutting features, and all but removed the free plan. Gascoigne later reversed this and returned to Buffer's original small business customers.
  3. Gascoigne tracks carrying capacity: new paying customers per month divided by churn rate, which shows whether the business can keep growing on current acquisition.
  4. Pointing the homepage call to action straight at free sign-up, instead of the pricing page, lifted Buffer's monthly sign-ups from about 65,000 to 85,000.
  5. After stopping executive searches in 2022, Gascoigne worked directly with his teams and ran a Build Week to shift the company from maintenance mode back to build mode.

Who it's for

SaaS founders whose growth has stalled or started to decline, especially those serving small businesses and weighing price increases against customer growth.

Why it's worth your time

It is an unusually candid account with real numbers of what went wrong, what it felt like, and which specific changes turned Buffer around, and the lessons on pricing, focus and differentiation apply well beyond Buffer.

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